Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are usually interpreted as local randomized experiments. We formalize this concept proposing a probabilistic formulation of the assignment mechanism. We develop a Bayesian approach to draw inferences for the causal effects around the threshold, focussing on a fuzzy RD design where the receipt of the treatment is based on eligibility criteria and a voluntary application status. The method is applied to evaluate the effects of Italian university grants on student dropout.
Bayesian Inference for Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs / Li F.; Mattei A.; Mealli F.. - ELETTRONICO. - (2013), pp. 1-8. (Intervento presentato al convegno SIS 2013 Statistical Conference: Advances in Latent Variables - Methods, Models and Applications tenutosi a Brescia nel 19-21 Giugno 2013).
Bayesian Inference for Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs
MATTEI, ALESSANDRA;MEALLI, FABRIZIA
2013
Abstract
Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are usually interpreted as local randomized experiments. We formalize this concept proposing a probabilistic formulation of the assignment mechanism. We develop a Bayesian approach to draw inferences for the causal effects around the threshold, focussing on a fuzzy RD design where the receipt of the treatment is based on eligibility criteria and a voluntary application status. The method is applied to evaluate the effects of Italian university grants on student dropout.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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