Badland susceptibility assessment in Volterra municipality (Tuscany, Italy) by means of GIS and statistical analysis

Badlands can be defined as complex and peculiar types of erosional formations that develop in clayey environments and are mainly favoured by lithological and topographic features, as well as by markedly seasonal climate. This work aims at assessing badland susceptibility in Volterra municipality located in Tuscany region (Italy) by means of bivariate statistical analysis implemented in a geographic information system. The Volterra municipality is affected by intense soil erosion processes, including rill and gully erosion usually turned out as badland forms, mostly occurring on Pliocene–Pleistocene clayey sediments. Firstly, an inventory of 234 badland areas was produced on the basis of an available pre-existing database, integrated with the interpretation of aerial photographs and supported by a field survey. Badlands were distinguished in type A and type B, according to different evolutional stage, vegetation presence and consequently different landforms. Then, nine geoenvironmental factors supposed to be predisposing for badland occurrence were chosen and combined with the spatial frequency of badland areas derived from the inventory, through Information Value Statistic approach. The result was a badland susceptibility map that highlights a strong control of lithology, slope gradient and land use in conditioning badland development in the investigated area. The effectiveness of the performed model was demonstrated by a validation test computed through a receiver operating characteristics analysis. The outcomes of this work provide an updated badland database that is useful for soil erosion management and further land-use planning within the Volterra municipality.