An ensemble of projections of wheat adaptation to climate change in europe analyzed with impact response surfaces

Ruiz Ramos, M.; Ferrise, Roberto; Rodríguez, A.; Lorite, I. J.; Tao, F.; Pirttioja, N.; Fronzek, S.; Palosuo, T.; Carter, T. R.; Bindi, Marco; Höhn, J. G; Kersebaum, K. C.; Trnka, M.; Hoffmann, H.; Baranowski, P.; Buis, S.; Cammarano, D.; Deligios, P.; Havlinka, P.; Minet, J.; Montesino, M.; Porter, J.; Recio, J.; Ruget, F.; Sanz, A.; Steinmetz, Z.; Stratonovitch, P.; Supit, I.; Ventrella, D.; de Wit, A.; Rötter, R. P. .

Adaptation of crops to climate change (CC) requires reliable climate projections with low uncertainty at regional level. When these are not available, approaches can be used to manage the uncertainties involved, e.g. by exploring the potential changes in climate and their impacts. Here we use an ensemble of crop models applied to rainfed winter wheat at Lleida (NE Spain) and analyze the results by constructing impact response surfaces (IRSs).

An ensemble of projections of wheat adaptation to climate change in europe analyzed with impact response surfaces / Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Ferrise, R.; Rodríguez, A.; Lorite, I. J.; Tao, F.; Pirttioja, N.; Fronzek, S.; Palosuo, T.; Carter, T. R.; Bindi, M.; Höhn, J. G; Kersebaum, K. C.; Trnka, M.; Hoffmann, H.; Baranowski, P.; Buis, S.; Cammarano, D.; Deligios, P.; Havlinka, P.; Minet, J.; Montesino, M.; Porter, J.; Recio, J.; Ruget, F.; Sanz, A.; Steinmetz, Z.; Stratonovitch, P.; Supit, I.; Ventrella, D.; de Wit, A.; Rötter, R. P. .. - ELETTRONICO. - (2016), pp. 131-132. (Intervento presentato al convegno MACSUR and AgMIP jointly present the International Crop Modelling Symposium: Crop Modelling for Agriculture and food security under global change tenutosi a Berlino nel 15-17 marzo 2016).