Potato ranks fifth among the world’s most important food crops, with over 365 million metric tons produced worldwide in 2012, and is a major staple for developing nations. Projected climate change impacts will profoundly influence production of this temperature and water sensitive plant, posing significant challenges to food security. Confidence in our predictive tools needs to be increased in order to understand and develop adaptation measures. An international team of modelers and experimenters was assembled as part of the Potato Crop Modeling Pilot within The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) to address this need. Goals of the present report were to (a) identify four different sentinel sites for which complete sets of experimental data were available, (b) conduct baseline simulations at each site using minimally or ‘low’ calibrated models and local climate data, and (c) conduct sensitivity simulations at each site using minimally or ‘low’ calibrated models using modified climate data to reflect potential shifts in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration (CO2) and daily air temperatures.
The AgMIP potato model intercomparison pilot - First responses / Fleisher, D.H.; Condon, B.; Quiroz, R.; Alva, A.; Asseng, S.; Bindi, M.; Brown, H.; Ferrise, R.; Franke, L.; Govindakrishnan, P.M.; Harahagazwe, D.; Haverkort, A.; Hoogenboom, G.; Naresh Kumar, S.; Merante, P.; Nendel, C.; Olesen, J.E.; Parker, P.S.; Raes, D.; Raymundo, R.; Ruane, A.; Searle, B.; Stockle, C.; Supit, I.; Vanuytrecht, E.; Wolf, J.; Woli, P.. - STAMPA. - (2015), pp. 300-303. ( ASABE 1st Climate Change Symposium: Adaptation and Mitigation Chicago, Illinois USA May 3-5, 2015).
The AgMIP potato model intercomparison pilot - First responses
Bindi, M.;Ferrise, R.;Merante, P.;
2015
Abstract
Potato ranks fifth among the world’s most important food crops, with over 365 million metric tons produced worldwide in 2012, and is a major staple for developing nations. Projected climate change impacts will profoundly influence production of this temperature and water sensitive plant, posing significant challenges to food security. Confidence in our predictive tools needs to be increased in order to understand and develop adaptation measures. An international team of modelers and experimenters was assembled as part of the Potato Crop Modeling Pilot within The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) to address this need. Goals of the present report were to (a) identify four different sentinel sites for which complete sets of experimental data were available, (b) conduct baseline simulations at each site using minimally or ‘low’ calibrated models and local climate data, and (c) conduct sensitivity simulations at each site using minimally or ‘low’ calibrated models using modified climate data to reflect potential shifts in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration (CO2) and daily air temperatures.
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