The simplest and most natural vol-of-vol estimator, the pre-estimated spot variance-based realized variance, is typically plagued by a large finite-sample bias. In this paper, we analytically show that allowing for the overlap of consecutive local windows to pre-estimate the spot variance may correct for this bias. In particular, we provide a feasible rule for the bias-optimal selection of the length of local windows when the volatility is a CKLS process. The effectiveness of this rule for practical applications is supported by numerical and empirical analyses.

Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping / Toscano G.; Recchioni M.C.. - In: DECISIONS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE. - ISSN 1593-8883. - STAMPA. - 45:(2022), pp. 137-185. [10.1007/s10203-021-00349-4]

Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping

Toscano G.
;
2022

Abstract

The simplest and most natural vol-of-vol estimator, the pre-estimated spot variance-based realized variance, is typically plagued by a large finite-sample bias. In this paper, we analytically show that allowing for the overlap of consecutive local windows to pre-estimate the spot variance may correct for this bias. In particular, we provide a feasible rule for the bias-optimal selection of the length of local windows when the volatility is a CKLS process. The effectiveness of this rule for practical applications is supported by numerical and empirical analyses.
2022
45
137
185
Toscano G.; Recchioni M.C.
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Utilizza questo identificatore per citare o creare un link a questa risorsa: https://hdl.handle.net/2158/1241385
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