Background: Retrospective series suggest that bevacizumab-induced hypertension (HTN) is a prognostic and potentially predictive biomarker of efficacy of the antiangiogenic drug in the upfront treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. The immortal-time bias and the effect of pre-existing HTN might affect these findings. We conducted a pooled, post hoc analysis of 2 prospective randomized trials of chemotherapy plus bevacizumab in mCRC, and performed a systematic review of the available literature focusing on how the immortal-time bias was taken into account and how pre-existing HTN potentially requiring the use of antihypertensive drugs was managed. Methods: The pooled-analysis included patients enrolled in the phase III TRIBE and TRIBE-2 studies that compared upfront FOLFOXIRI + bevacizumab to FOLFIRI or FOLFOX + bevacizumab, respectively. Association between HTN and survival outcomes was assessed by incorporating a time-dependent Cox regression model to consider the time-dependency of the probability of HTN onset during the treatment. The systematic review was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines. Results: The systematic review retrieved 14 eligible and highly heterogeneous studies. A positive prognostic impact of bevacizumab-induced HTN was reported in the 58% of the analyses reporting Progression Free Survival (PFS) and in the 54% of the analyses reporting Overall Survival (OS) data. Immortal-time bias was incorporated in 4 studies (28%). In TRIBE and TRIBE-2 study populations (N = 1175), patients experiencing ≥ G2 HTN during first-line bevacizumab administration showed longer PFS (median: 14.7 versus 10.3 months, p < 0.001) and OS (median: 31.7 versus 24.2 months, p < 0.001). The association with OS retained statistical significance after correction for time-dependency (p = 0.003) and was confirmed in the multivariable model including HTN as a time-dependent variable (p = 0.02). Moreover, in patients with pre-existing HTN, no difference in terms of PFS and OS was observed compared with the subgroup of patients who never experienced ≥G2 HTN (HR 1.01, p = 0.86 and HR 1.02, p = 0.78 respectively. Conclusions: Bevacizumab-induced HTN during the first-line treatment of mCRC is an independent prognostic factor, also adopting a time-dependency correction. Toxicity should be interpreted as a time-dependent variable when exploring its association with clinical outcome.
Bevacizumab-induced hypertension as a predictor of clinical outcome in metastatic colorectal cancer: An individual patient data-based pooled analysis of two randomized studies and a systematic review of the literature / Lombardi P., Rossini D., Crespi V., Germani M.M., Bergamo F., Pietrantonio F., Santini D., Allegrini G., Daniel F., Pagani F., Antoniotti C., Zaniboni A., Conca V., Latiano T.P., Boccaccino A., Passardi A., Tamburini E., Masi G., Di Maio M., Cremolini C.. - In: CANCER TREATMENT REVIEWS. - ISSN 0305-7372. - ELETTRONICO. - 103:(2022), pp. 102326.0-102326.0. [10.1016/j.ctrv.2021.102326]
Bevacizumab-induced hypertension as a predictor of clinical outcome in metastatic colorectal cancer: An individual patient data-based pooled analysis of two randomized studies and a systematic review of the literature
Rossini D.;
2022
Abstract
Background: Retrospective series suggest that bevacizumab-induced hypertension (HTN) is a prognostic and potentially predictive biomarker of efficacy of the antiangiogenic drug in the upfront treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. The immortal-time bias and the effect of pre-existing HTN might affect these findings. We conducted a pooled, post hoc analysis of 2 prospective randomized trials of chemotherapy plus bevacizumab in mCRC, and performed a systematic review of the available literature focusing on how the immortal-time bias was taken into account and how pre-existing HTN potentially requiring the use of antihypertensive drugs was managed. Methods: The pooled-analysis included patients enrolled in the phase III TRIBE and TRIBE-2 studies that compared upfront FOLFOXIRI + bevacizumab to FOLFIRI or FOLFOX + bevacizumab, respectively. Association between HTN and survival outcomes was assessed by incorporating a time-dependent Cox regression model to consider the time-dependency of the probability of HTN onset during the treatment. The systematic review was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines. Results: The systematic review retrieved 14 eligible and highly heterogeneous studies. A positive prognostic impact of bevacizumab-induced HTN was reported in the 58% of the analyses reporting Progression Free Survival (PFS) and in the 54% of the analyses reporting Overall Survival (OS) data. Immortal-time bias was incorporated in 4 studies (28%). In TRIBE and TRIBE-2 study populations (N = 1175), patients experiencing ≥ G2 HTN during first-line bevacizumab administration showed longer PFS (median: 14.7 versus 10.3 months, p < 0.001) and OS (median: 31.7 versus 24.2 months, p < 0.001). The association with OS retained statistical significance after correction for time-dependency (p = 0.003) and was confirmed in the multivariable model including HTN as a time-dependent variable (p = 0.02). Moreover, in patients with pre-existing HTN, no difference in terms of PFS and OS was observed compared with the subgroup of patients who never experienced ≥G2 HTN (HR 1.01, p = 0.86 and HR 1.02, p = 0.78 respectively. Conclusions: Bevacizumab-induced HTN during the first-line treatment of mCRC is an independent prognostic factor, also adopting a time-dependency correction. Toxicity should be interpreted as a time-dependent variable when exploring its association with clinical outcome.
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