Extreme climatic events, biotic interactions and species-specific responses drive tree crown defoliation and mortality in Italian forests

The frequency of forest disturbances has increased in recent years, provoking widespread defoliation, crown dieback and tree mortality. The ICP Forests monitoring network offers a unique platform for observing the impacts on forests of heatwaves, droughts and other extreme climatic events, as well as the trends of defoliation and mortality. The Italian ICP Forests Level I network consists of 261 permanent plots where tree crown defoliation and damage symptoms are assessed visually each year by well-trained crews of the Corpo Forestale dello Stato (2001-2016) and the Carabinieri Forestale from 2017 onward. This paper aims to assess the main tree species' responses, in terms of defoliation and mortality, to severe climatic events. The results are discussed in relation to species-specific physiological behaviour and bioclimatic regions. A significant trend toward increasing defoliation and mortality has been observed since 2010 in both conifers and broadleaves. Conifers (especially Picea abies), which are largely diffuse in the Alpine regions, have suffered from bark beetle outbreaks due to severe windstorms (such as Vaia in 2018) and recurrent dry years. In the temperate regions, characterised by deciduous broadleaved trees, the most relevant defoliation events coincided with the driest and hottest years, with low relative humidity (2012, 2017 and 2021-2022), only partially recovering in the subsequent years. Among them, Fagus sylvatica and Quercus cerris, along with increased defoliation, showed symptoms caused by fungi of the genus Biscogniauxia, causal agents of "charcoal canker", in less favourable site conditions. Quercus pubescens was the most resilient species, able to restore its crown after defoliation. The Mediterranean forests, with evergreen broadleaved species, showed no significant trends but were impacted at the most drought-prone coastal sites. The findings evidenced that the current ICP Forests network in Italy represents a fundamental infrastructure for monitoring impacts and trends connected to climate change and species-specific responses. A local intensification of the grid would help to capture under-represented species or ecological conditions.