We investigate the evolution of probabilistic reasoning with age and some related biases, such as the negative/positive recency effects. Primary school children and college students were presented with probability tasks in which they were asked to estimate the likelihood of the next occurring event after a sequence of independent outcomes. Results indicate that older children perform better than younger children and college students. Concerning biases, the positive recency effect decreases with age whereas no age-related differences are found for the negative recency effect. Theoretical and educational implications of results are discussed.
Recency effects in primary-age children and college students using a gaming situation / F. Chiesi; C. Primi. - In: INTERNATIONAL ELECTRONIC JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS EDUCATION. - ISSN 1306-3030. - ELETTRONICO. - 4, 3:(2009), pp. 149-164.
Recency effects in primary-age children and college students using a gaming situation
CHIESI, FRANCESCA;PRIMI, CATERINA
2009
Abstract
We investigate the evolution of probabilistic reasoning with age and some related biases, such as the negative/positive recency effects. Primary school children and college students were presented with probability tasks in which they were asked to estimate the likelihood of the next occurring event after a sequence of independent outcomes. Results indicate that older children perform better than younger children and college students. Concerning biases, the positive recency effect decreases with age whereas no age-related differences are found for the negative recency effect. Theoretical and educational implications of results are discussed.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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