We study a simple monetary model in which a central bank faces a boundedly rational private sector and has the goal of stabilizing inflation. The system's dynamics is generated by the interaction of the expectations about inflation of the various agents involved. A modest degree of heterogeneity in such expectations is found to have interesting consequences, in particular when the central bank is uncertain about the relevant behavioral parameters. We find that a simple heuristic based on mean and variance of the distribution of behavioural parameters stabilizes the system for a wide parametric region.
Stabilizing inflation in a simple monetary policy model with heterogeneous agents / Domenico Colucci; Vincenzo Valori. - In: MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTERS IN SIMULATION. - ISSN 0378-4754. - STAMPA. - 108:(2015), pp. 233-244. [10.1016/j.matcom.2013.09.002]
Stabilizing inflation in a simple monetary policy model with heterogeneous agents
COLUCCI, DOMENICO;VALORI, VINCENZO
2015
Abstract
We study a simple monetary model in which a central bank faces a boundedly rational private sector and has the goal of stabilizing inflation. The system's dynamics is generated by the interaction of the expectations about inflation of the various agents involved. A modest degree of heterogeneity in such expectations is found to have interesting consequences, in particular when the central bank is uncertain about the relevant behavioral parameters. We find that a simple heuristic based on mean and variance of the distribution of behavioural parameters stabilizes the system for a wide parametric region.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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