The Number Needed to Immunize (NNI) to Assess the Benefit of a Prophylaxis Intervention with Monoclonal Antibodies Against RSV

Introduction: Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is the leading cause of lower respiratory tract infections in infants and children, as well as hospitalizations for respiratory infections in the pediatric population, representing a significant public health concern. Nirsevimab, a long-acting anti-RSV monoclonal antibody, has recently been approved by the European Medicines Agency (EMA). The aim of this study is to assess the utility of certain parameters, such as the Number Needed to Immunize (NNI), in supporting decision-makers regarding the introduction of nirsevimab as a universal prophylactic measure. Methods: A literature review was conducted to identify the definition and application of the NNI in the context of infectious disease prevention. The following online databases were consulted: Scopus, MEDLINE, Google Scholar, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. The search was restricted to English-language texts published between 1 January 2000 and 30 January 2025. Results: The NNI represents the number of individuals who need to be immunized to prevent clinical outcomes such as medical visits and hospitalizations caused by infectious diseases. Six studies were identified that utilized this parameter to outline the benefits of immunization and describe the advantages of using monoclonal antibodies for RSV disease. Finelli and colleagues report that to prevent one RSV-related hospitalization, 37–85 infants aged 0–5 months and 107–280 infants aged 6–11 months would need to be immunized with long-acting anti-RSV antibodies. A recent study by Mallah et al. on the efficacy of nirsevimab estimates that the NNI required to prevent one RSV-related hospitalization is 25 infants. Studies by Francisco and O’Leary report NNI values of 82 and 128 infants, respectively, to prevent one RSV-related hospitalization with nirsevimab. Mallah et al. describe NNI as a metric useful to quantify the immunization effort needed to prevent a single RSV hospitalization. A recent Italian study reports that 35 infants need to be immunized to prevent one hospitalization due to RSV-LRTI and 3 infants need to be immunized to prevent one primary care visit due to RSV-LRTI. The studies indicate that the NNI for anti-RSV monoclonal antibodies is lower than the corresponding Number Needed to Vaccinate (NNV) for vaccines already included in national immunization programs. The main limitations of using this parameter include the absence of a shared threshold for interpreting results and the lack of consideration for the indirect effects of immunization on the population. Conclusions: The NNI is an easily understandable tool that can be used to convey the value of an immunization intervention to a variety of stakeholders, thereby supporting public health decision-making processes when considered in association with the uptake of the preventative strategy. At the current status, the estimated NNI of monoclonal antibodies against RSV results favourable and confirms the use in the first year of life for the prevention of RSV disease.