We study the forecasting performance of the Fourier volatility estimator in the presence of microstructure noise. Analytical comparison and simulation studies indicate that the Fourier estimator significantly outperforms realized volatility-type estimators, particularly for high-frequency data and when the noise component is relevant. We show that the Fourier estimator generally exhibits better performance, even compared with methods specifically designed to handle market microstructure contamination.
Fourier volatility forecasting with high frequency data and microstructure noise / M. Mancino; E. Barucci; D. Magno. - In: QUANTITATIVE FINANCE. - ISSN 1469-7688. - STAMPA. - 12:2:(2012), pp. 281-293. [10.1080/14697680903413589]
Fourier volatility forecasting with high frequency data and microstructure noise
MANCINO, MARIA ELVIRA;
2012
Abstract
We study the forecasting performance of the Fourier volatility estimator in the presence of microstructure noise. Analytical comparison and simulation studies indicate that the Fourier estimator significantly outperforms realized volatility-type estimators, particularly for high-frequency data and when the noise component is relevant. We show that the Fourier estimator generally exhibits better performance, even compared with methods specifically designed to handle market microstructure contamination.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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